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A lifeboat holds 8. There are 9 of you. Nobody volunteers. Someone proposes the eldest goes — they look at you and nod.

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Why this dilemma matters

In high-stakes situations, the calmer option and the safer option often diverge. Choosing “Accept their nod. They've made peace with it” prioritises a hard but certain outcome; choosing “Refuse. Once we choose by usefulness, we've already lost something we won't get back” gives more weight to a softer but riskier outcome.

Worth asking yourself

  • Is the risk small enough to gamble on?
  • What cost are you more willing to accept?

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